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SBJ In Depth

Teen population trends

Nationally, 12- to 17-year-olds make up 8 percent of the average U.S. market. Overall, about 26 million people now fall into that age group in the United States.

Texas and California have nine of the nation’s 10 top markets ranked by 12-17 population per capita.

Markets with largest 12-17 population per capita
Rank
Market
Total population % Total 12-17
1 Merced, Calif. 210,554 11.56%
2 Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, Calif. 368,021 11.24%
3 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas 569,463 11.01%
4 Laredo, Texas 193,117 10.99%
5 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, Texas 335,227 10.91%
6 Odessa-Midland, Texas 237,132 10.74%
7 Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, Wash. 191,822 10.68%
8 El Paso, Texas 679,622 10.56%
9 Bakersfield, Calif. 661,645 10.54%
10 Fresno, Calif. 922,516 10.51%
       

San Antonio, Houston and Dallas are home to 10 big league teams, and are all among the top markets in 12-17 population per capita.

Big Four markets with largest 12-17 population per capita
(Ranked by market with the highest percent population age 12-17)
Rank
Market
Total population % Total 12-17
1 Salt Lake City 1,333,914 10.45%
2 San Antonio 1,592,383 9.47%
3 Houston 4,669,571 9.44%
4 New Orleans 1,337,726 9.33%
5 Memphis 1,135,614 9.24%
6 St. Louis 2,603,607 9.08%
7 Sacramento 1,796,857 9.05%
8 Milwaukee 1,689,572 8.99%
9t Dallas 5,221,801 8.91%
9t Cincinnati 1,979,202 8.91%
9t Los Angeles 16,373,645 8.91%
       

Florida is home to three of the nation's bottom 10 markets ranked by the 12-17 population per capita.

Markets with smallest 12-17 population per capita
Rank
Market
Total population % Total 12-17
1 San Francisco 1,731,183 6.04%
2t Athens, Ga. 153,444 6.98%
2t Wilmington, N.C. 233,450 6.98%
4 West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, Fla. 1,131,184 7.05%
5 Bryan-College Station, Texas 152,415 7.07%
6t Gainesville, Fla. 217,955 7.09%
6t Myrtle Beach, S.C. 196,629 7.09%
8 Lafayette, Ind. 182,821 7.18%
9 Daytona Beach, Fla. 493,175 7.19%
10 Lexington, Ky. 479,198 7.26%
       

San Francisco, Oakland and San Jose - California's Bay Area - are home to seven big league teams, but only 7.6 percent of their combined population is age 12-17.

Big Four markets with smallest 12-17 population per capita
Rank
Market
Total population % Total 12-17
1 San Francisco 1,731,183 6.04%
2 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater 2,395,997 7.29%
3 Raleigh 1,187,941 7.46%
4 San Jose 1,682,585 7.70%
5 Pittsburgh 2,358,695 7.78%
6 Boston 5,819,100 7.79%
7 New York 21,199,865 7.87%
8 Charlotte 1,499,293 8.01%
9 Washington, D.C. 4,923,153 8.05%
10t Nashville 1,231,311 8.09%
10t Miami-Fort Lauderdale 3,876,380 8.09%
10t Oakland 2,392,557 8.09%
Source: SportsBusiness Journal analysis of 2004 U.S. Census Bureau data
       

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