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NFL TV NEGOTIATIONS: BOWLEN SAYS FEES MAY ALMOST DOUBLE

          The NFL's TV rights negotiations are examined in the
     N.Y. TIMES and the WALL STREET JOURNAL.  In N.Y., Richard
     Sandomir reports that the bidding "may begin next week and
     end by Christmas (but then again may not)," and could result
     in a 60% or more increase for the NFL.  Broncos Owner Pat
     Bowlen, Chair of the NFL's broadcasting committee, noting
     the NBA's new $2.6B TV deal: "The N.B.A. didn't help our
     committee's position on what we should get.  But it made
     some owners think we should get triple what we're getting. 
     That's ridiculous, although we may come close to double." 
     But Bowlen added, "We don't control the process from the
     standpoint of [dollar] numbers" (N.Y. TIMES, 12/12).  
          MORE FOR LESS? In  N.Y., Fatsis & Pope report on the
     rising costs of sports rights despite declining ratings. 
     Fox has lost "hundreds of millions of dollars" broadcasting
     the NFL, MLB and NHL.  NBC "has lost money on baseball, and
     it expects profits from televising the NBA to be halved"
     under a four-year, $1.75B deal signed last month.  CBS and
     ABC "are expected to lose money on recent deals for college
     football.  And even sports that have been money-makers,
     notably golf and auto racing, are heading into dicey
     financial territory with high-priced rights deals."  Fatsis
     & Pope write that network execs "complain" that the NFL "is
     growing increasingly diluted."  Network sales execs have
     been "canvassing advertisers on how much more they might be
     willing to pay to stay in the game."  GM VP/Marketing Phil
     Guarascio: "Our spending levels are finite."  John Mansell,
     an analyst at Paul Kagan & Associates, said that ad dollars
     spent on the NFL increased 27% last year, to $1.2B.  Fatsis
     & Pope: "Put another way, of the $14.5 billion in ad sales
     at the four networks last year, one-quarter came from sports
     -- and 40% of that came from the NFL."  For more inventory,
     Fatsis & Pope write the NFL "could create new programming,
     such as highlight shows, to air on Saturday mornings, which
     the league would like to help it reach more children.  And
     it could shift even more games from Sunday afternoon into
     prime-time slots" (WALL STREET JOURNAL, 12/12).  
          CBS MAKES ITS PITCH: USA TODAY's Rudy Martzke reports
     that CBS officials will make their presentation to the NFL
     today in N.Y.  CBS "is expected to enter bids for all three
     network packages" (USA TODAY, 12/12).
           

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