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Decision 2014: A closer look at the data

In Louisiana, a likely Senate runoff means spots are booked on Saints games throughout November.
Photo by: GETTY IMAGES
Oct. 12 was the single biggest day of the election season through Oct. 22 for the political buyers. On that day, 174 ads aired in our 23 battleground markets, generating $1.68 million. NBC’s “Sunday Night Football,” with a New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles matchup, generated $181,450, the biggest single revenue generator of the day. The Republican Party of Florida spent $156,000 promoting its candidates throughout the day on sports programming in Jacksonville, Miami, Orlando and Tampa Bay.

Comparing ads that aired during college broadcasts, Notre Dame led the way, with 46 spots (totaling $163,000) being purchased during Fighting Irish football games this fall. Florida State was the top draw on the spending side, with ads worth $203,400 (for 25 total ads) airing during Seminoles games. When it comes to the biggest single game for purchasing, though, Notre Dame-Florida State on Oct. 18 didn’t get the No. 1 slot. That distinction goes to the annual Florida-Georgia game in Jacksonville, slated for this past Saturday. Purchases of ads to air during that game generated more than $132,000 for CBS affiliates, primarily in the Southeast. (The Notre Dame-Florida State game, by way of comparison: $61,100 in ad time purchased.)

Who ranks at the top?

RANKED BY TOTAL AD SPENDING

Rank Station (Network) Market No. of Spots Total Ad Spending
1 KCNC (CBS) Denver 84 $917,850
2 WBTV (CBS) Charlotte 122 $814,635
3 WBBM (CBS) Chicago 62 $633,000
4 KDVR (Fox) Denver 86 $619,800
5 WAGA (Fox) Atlanta 50 $587,750
6 KUSA (NBC) Denver 83 $549,710
7 WFLD (Fox) Chicago 37 $498,900
8 WRAL (CBS) Raleigh 111 $436,045
9 WTSP (CBS) Tampa 61 $420,160
10 KCTV (CBS) Kansas City 70 $348,500

RANKED BY NUMBER OF ADS

Rank Station (Network) Market Total Ad Spending No. of Spots
1 WBTV (CBS) Charlotte $814,635 122
2 WRAL (CBS) Raleigh $436,045 111
3 KDVR (Fox) Denver $619,800 86
4 KCNC (CBS) Denver $917,850 84
5 KUSA (NBC) Denver $549,710 83
6 WXIX (Fox) Cincinnati $179,650 75
7 KCTV (CBS) Kansas City $348,500 70
8 WBBM (CBS) Chicago $633,000 62
9 WTSP (CBS) Tampa $420,160 61
10 WOFL (Fox) Orlando $115,490 53

RANKED BY AVG. COST OF AD (minimum 3 spots)

Rank Station (Network) Market Total spending (No. of Spots) Average spending per ad
1 WVUE (Fox) New Orleans $294,650 (16) $18,416
2 KOVR (CBS) Sacramento $230,100 (13) $17,700
3 WITI (Fox) Milwaukee $228,400 (13) $17,569
4 WFOR (CBS) Miami $346,500 (23) $15,065
5 WHDH (NBC) Boston $214,690 (15) $14,313
6 WFLD (Fox) Chicago $498,900 (37) $13,484
7 KCRA (NBC) Sacramento $127,500 (10) $12,750
8 WCCO (CBS) Minneapolis $138,000 (11) $12,545
9 WBZ (CBS) Boston $48,000 (4) $12,000
10 WAGA (Fox) Atlanta $587,750 (50) $11,755

The National Rifle Association aired 75 ads for a total of $390,180 in Raleigh (36 spots), Green Bay (21) and Minneapolis (18). More than half those spots appeared during college football games. Ending Spending, a conservative PAC founded by Joe Ricketts (whose family owns the Chicago Cubs), spent $61,500 during sports, airing a total of nine ads in Denver and Kansas City. Those buys included one ad each (at $12,000 a spot) in Games 6 and 7 of the World Series broadcasts on Fox’s KDVR affiliate in Denver.

In the Boston market, 72 percent of the political ads came via the U.S. Senate race in New Hampshire, where Republican challenger Scott Brown and Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen are battling. The remaining spots touted Massachusetts’ gubernatorial candidates. New Hampshire, of course, does not have a big league team of its own, but the state’s Manchester-Nashua metropolitan area is home to nearly one-third of the Granite State’s population and makes up the northern border of the designated Boston media market. Ohio saw an even larger out-of-state influence, as 88 percent of the political spending in that state came from ads related to the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky, between Republican incumbent Mitch McConnell and Democratic challenger Alison Grimes.

The state of Louisiana is already preparing for a runoff in its senatorial race. Many in the political realm believe that neither Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu nor Republican challenger Bill Cassidy will receive the required 50 percent of the votes needed to win the seat on Election Day, thus setting up a Dec. 6 runoff. That anticipation helps explain this find in the research: Alexandria, Va.-based National Media Research, Planning and Placement, the media buyer for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, has already ordered spots to run during New Orleans Saints games throughout November, worth a total of $76,440.

Spotlighting the agencies: Five agencies brokered at least $1 million in measured sales.

Agency (No. of spots) Total Spent Some of the purchasing clients
National Media Research, Planning and Placement (324) $2,100,840 National Republican Congressional Committee; National Republican Senatorial Committee; Republican Governors Association
Multi Media Services (250) $1,412,200 Republican Party of Florida; Scott Brown (R-candidate, U.S. Senate, New Hampshire)
Main Street Media (196) $1,364,100 Crossroads GPS, Kentuckians for Strong Leadership (Republican PACs)
GMMB (295) $1,353,195 Florida Democratic Party; Fred DuVal (D-candidate, governor, Arizona); Kevin Strouse (D-candidate, U.S. House, Pennsylvania, 8th District); Mark Dayton (D-Minnesota governor); Scott Peters (D-U.S. Representative, California, 52nd District)
Great American Media Services (178) $1,280,705 Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee; Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee

Who did the spending?

Top spenders among candidates

Candidate (Race) Party Affiliation Amount Spent
Pat Quinn (Illinois/Governor)* Democrat  $775,000
Bruce Rauner (Illinois/Governor) Republican  $503,100
Thom Tillis (North Carolina/Senate) Republican  $493,590
Mary Burke (Wisconsin/Governor) Democrat  $417,860
Scott Walker (Wisconsin/Governor)* Republican  $274,920
Greg Orman (Kansas/Senate) Independent  $256,450
Kay Hagan (North Carolina/Senate)* Democrat  $200,325
David Perdue (Georgia/Senate) Republican  $193,500
Mike Coffman (Colorado/House)* Republican  $185,140
Mitch McConnell (Kentucky/Senate)* Republican  $162,285

Top spenders among PACs

Candidate (Race) Party Affiliation Amount Spent
Republican Party of Florida Republican  $1,409,510
Crossroads GPS Republican  $1,169,100
National Republican Congressional Committee Republican  $1,096,450
National Republican Senatorial Committee Republican  $1,073,590
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Democrat  $782,365
Florida Democratic Party Democrat  $537,885
Republican Governors Association Republican  $529,330
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Democrat  $498,340
National Rifle Association of America Republican  $426,455
Senate Majority Democrat  $260,100

*Incumbent

Which network’s affiliates drew the most advertising?

Network Spending (% of Total $) No. of Spots (% of total spots)
CBS $5,705,309 (39%) 854 (35%)
Fox $4,499,105 (31%) 680 (28%)
NBC $3,207,905 (22%) 489 (20%)
ABC $1,107,570 (8%) 416 (17%)
TOTAL $14,519,889 2,439

Target Buys

Largest targeted buys

Station (Network) Market Air Date (day) Program Cost Buyer
KCNC (CBS) Denver Nov. 2 (Sun.) Denver Broncos-New England Patriots $125,000 National Republican Senatorial Committee
WFLD (Fox) Chicago Oct. 5 (Sun.) Chicago Bears-Carolina Panthers $113,100* Bruce Rauner (R-candidate, governor, Illinois)
WFLD (Fox) Chicago Sept. 7 (Sun.) Buffalo Bills-Chicago Bears $90,000 Bruce Rauner (R-candidate, governor, Illinois)
KCNC (CBS) Denver Oct. 23 (Thurs.) Denver Broncos-San Diego Chargers $85,000 Crossroads GPS
WFLD (Fox) Chicago Oct. 12 (Sun.) Chicago Bears-Atlanta Falcons $75,400 Bruce Rauner (R-candidate, governor, Illinois)

smallest targeted buys

Station (Network) Market Air Date (day) Program Cost Buyer
WDJT (CBS) Milwaukee Sept. 13 (Sat.) College football: Georgia-South Carolina $100 Mary Burke (D-candidate, governor, Wisconsin)
WWL (CBS) New Orleans Sept. 28 (Sun.) “Inside LSU Football with Les Miles” $99 Mary Landrieu (D-U.S. Senate, Louisiana)**
KUSA (NBC) Denver Sept. 27 (Sat.) College football: Notre Dame-Syracuse $65 Crossroads GPS
KUSA (NBC) Denver Oct. 4 (Sat.) College football: Stanford-Notre Dame $65 Crossroads GPS
WWL (CBS) New Orleans Sept. 21 (Sun.) “Inside LSU Football with Les Miles” $50 Mary Landrieu (D-U.S. Senate, Louisiana)**

Note: All ads had a duration of 30 seconds.                  * Three spots were purchased, at a rate of $37,700 each.                  ** Incumbent

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