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PUNT, PASS OR KICK: CAN THE NFL SAVE OR SINK A NETWORK?

          Under close scrutiny, the quantifiable benefits of the
     NFL to broadcast networks "are not as overwhelming as is
     widely believed," as its "presumed life-giving effects just
     might be overrated," according to Eric Schmuckler of
     MEDIAWEEK, who takes an extensive look at the value of the
     NFL to the networks.  One Senior Network Exec: "Football is
     not some savior, because it comes at such a high price.  To
     me, it's more like a drug -- you get hooked on it and it
     sucks all your profit out."  A sports media buyer at a major
     agency: "It's not going to make or break you.  For years NBC
     was the No. 3 network, and they had the NFL -- and on Sunday
     they were a distant No. 3."  Jamie Kellner, WB CEO and a
     Founding Exec at Fox: "I don't think the NFL is of great
     value to a network unless you can make money on it. ... You
     don't define your network with product that's available in
     other places; you define it with original series
     programming."  Kellner: "From my vantage point, Fox achieved
     network status because of The Simpsons and the Spelling
     shows. ... Whoever has the hit shows is the big-time
     network, not the one that overpays for a sports franchise."
          THE FLIP SIDE: Schmuckler writes that the "conventional
     wisdom among media buyers and the press is that despite the
     likelihood that football will bring devastating losses, in
     the prevailing view these networks did the right thing." 
     NFL Commissioner Paul Tagliabue: "We have a network builder. 
     The NBA is a phenomenal property, but it's not a network
     builder.  We have incumbency, rights of first refusal, but
     there's been more change on the other side of the table than
     on mine.  [News Corp. Chair Rupert] Murdoch viewed football
     as a network builder and now so does the new management at
     CBS."  Fox Sports President David Hill: "Football is a
     landmark property.  Because it gives you the biggest
     promotional platform there is."  CBS TV CEO Les Moonves: "I
     don't want to say football is the be-all and end-all.  But
     where else do you get three or six hours of that kind of
     circulation, up from zero?  ... If the audience doesn't
     stay, it's the programming's fault" (MEDIAWEEK, 9/28 issue).

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