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In-Depth

Nielsen insights heading into the NFL season

The numbers to beat

Ratings for the first game of the NFL season have climbed the past two years. The Steelers and Patriots are set to square off Thursday to get the 2015 campaign underway.

Kickoff game ratings trends

  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Avg. rating 16.5 16.0 14.7 14.9 15.7
Households (000s) 19,088 18,314 16,821 17,217 18,227

In 2010, 1.08 million Hispanics ages 18-49 watched the NFL Kickoff, representing less than half the size of the African-American 18-49 audience. Last year, 1.32 million Hispanics ages 18-49 watched the game, more than two-thirds the size of the African-American 18-49 audience.

  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
U.S. (000s)
Males 18-49 9,229 9,039 8,188 8,520 8,301
Females 18-49 4,879 4,846 4,029 4,557 4,777
African-Americans
Males 18-49 1,440 1,230 1,217 1,430 1,297
Females 18-49 800 743 610 615 676
Hispanic
Males 18-49 711 664 893 868 917
Females 18-49 368 288 477 396 405

In 2010, 45 percent of total audience of the NFL Kickoff game was age 55+. Last year that group made up 52 percent.

  2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
U.S. (000s)
Males 55+ 5,541 5,326 4,715 5,090 5,948
Females 55+ 3,146 3,021 2,618 2,959 3,571
African-Americans
Males 55+ 674 800 607 729 799
Females 55+ 392 389 264 393 368
Hispanic
Males 55+ 265 207 238 228 337
Females 55+ 84 112 116 119 195

Source: Nielsen

Social standing

The top five most social, regular-season games during the 2014 season generated a total of nearly 6 million game-specific tweets and an average unique audience of 7.9 million people. During the Sept. 4 game between the Packers and Seahawks, 8.1 million people saw one or more of the 948,000 tweets associated with the game. Nielsen Social captures relevant tweets in the U.S. from three hours before through three hours after a broadcast, local time. Unique audience measures the audience of relevant tweets ascribed to a program.

Rank Game Network Date Audience (000s) Tweets (000s)
1 Packers at Seahawks 9/4/14 8,063 948
2 49ers at Cowboys 9/7/14 8,026 1,416
3 Cowboys at Giants 11/23/14 7,844 1,136
4 Redskins at Cowboys 10/27/14 7,790 1,624
5 49ers at Broncos 10/19/14 7,556 860

The road to LA

All signs point to an NFL franchise returning to the Los Angeles market for the first time in 20 years. According to Nielsen Scarborough research, compared to the typical U.S. adult, adults in the Los Angeles market are:

  • 27% less likely to be very interested in the NFL.
  • 24% less likely to be very or somewhat interested in the NFL.
  • 15% less likely to have any level of interest in the NFL.

Still, with an overall market size of 14 million adults, Los Angeles has the numbers that could pay off for the NFL. As a comparison:

  • 2.8 million L.A. adults are very interested in the NFL (more adults than live in either the San Diego or St. Louis markets).
  • 4.9 million L.A. adults are very or somewhat interested in the NFL (roughly the same number of adults who live in the Houston market, the nation’s 10th-biggest market).
  • 7.2 million L.A. adults have some level of interest in the NFL (slightly smaller than the nation’s third-largest market, Chicago, and about 1 million more adults than live in the nation’s fourth-largest market, Philadelphia).

Source: Nielsen Answers Core; Total US

Drink up!

Americans spend approximately 15.5% more on malt beverages and beer during NFL opening week than the average week. The U.S. is on track to spend approximately $2.1 billion on malt beverages and beer during this year’s opening week.

Don’t forget the snacks

Americans also spend 8.5% more on salty snacks and 8.8% more on soft drinks during opening week.

Brady’s image deflated

N-Score measures a sports figure’s overall endorsement potential, based on awareness and various traits identified in a survey of consumers. When reviewing data fielded before and after Deflategate, Tom Brady’s image took a hit across many of the measures. To read: Of those who are aware of Brady, 35 percent believe that he is influential.

Field date N-Score Awareness Likability Influential Role Model
July 2014 76 83% 51% 40% 31%
May 2015 67 75% 40% 35% 24%

Source: Nielsen

SBJ Morning Buzzcast: April 25, 2024

Motor City's big weekend; Kevin Warren's big bet; Bill Belichick's big makeover and the WNBA's big week continues

TNT’s Stan Van Gundy, ESPN’s Tim Reed, NBA Playoffs and NFL Draft

On this week’s pod, SBJ’s Austin Karp has two Big Get interviews. The first is with TNT’s Stan Van Gundy as he breaks down the NBA Playoffs from the booth. Later in the show, we hear from ESPN’s VP of Programming and Acquisitions Tim Reed as the NFL Draft gets set to kick off on Thursday night in Motown. SBJ’s Tom Friend also joins the show to share his insights into NBA viewership trends.

SBJ I Factor: Molly Mazzolini

SBJ I Factor features an interview with Molly Mazzolini. Elevate's Senior Operating Advisor – Design + Strategic Alliances chats with SBJ’s Ross Nethery about the power of taking chances. Mazzolini is a member of the SBJ Game Changers Class of 2016. She shares stories of her career including co-founding sports design consultancy Infinite Scale career journey and how a chance encounter while working at a stationery store launched her career in the sports industry. SBJ I Factor is a monthly podcast offering interviews with sports executives who have been recipients of one of the magazine’s awards.

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