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FOX/MLB READY TO MAKE $2.5B TV DEAL OFFICIAL TODAY

          Fox's "pre-emptive, but risky, strike to acquire the
     national over-the-air rights to televise" MLB from 2001-06
     "worked as fellow incumbents" NBC and ESPN declined to bid
     by yesterday's deadline, according to Steve Zipay of
     NEWSDAY, who writes that MLB officials will announce today
     that Fox has "agreed to pay about" $2.5B for the rights to
     the World Series and all other postseason games.  Fox will
     pay an average of about $400M annually starting next season. 
     However, some sports business execs said that "unless some
     MLB Internet rights were included in the deal, it was too
     expensive."  One exec said: "When NBC shared the package, it
     wouldn't counterprogram against Fox because it had to sell
     the same sport.  Now, Fox will be pounded by the other three
     networks" (NEWSDAY, 9/27). The HOLLYWOOD REPORTER's Michele
     Greppi writes that no single network "has owned so complete
     a baseball package" since CBS lost millions in a $1.1B deal
     from '90-93 (HOLLYWOOD REPORTER, 9/27).  USA TODAY's Rudy
     Martzke values Fox' annual fee at $417M and notes that it
     represents a 44% increase from the annual $290M total from
     Fox and NBC.  ESPN retains MLB's only other national TV
     contract as part of its $810M, six-year deal for regular
     season rights through 2005 (USA TODAY, 9/27). In N.Y.,
     Richard Sandomir writes that ESPN "was being asked to more
     than double" its fee of about $6M per game for about six
     division series playoff broadcasts (N.Y. TIMES, 9/27). 
          RISKY BUSINESS: The WALL STREET JOURNAL's Joe Flint
     writes that Fox' move "to grab all of the postseason isn't
     without risks."  Pilson Communications President Neal
     Pilson: "When you have the entire package, your risks grow
     if bad things happen" (WALL STREET JOURNAL, 9/27).  In
     Boston, Howard Manly: "It remains to be seen whether Fox can
     turn a profit under terms of the deal. ... But as the No. 4
     network, Fox could not afford to lose baseball" (BOSTON
     GLOBE, 9/27).  Univ. of OR Warsaw Sports Marketing Center
     Dir Rick Burton: "On the surface, it looks like they've
     overpaid dearly.  They're doing this at a time when
     viability of sports on network television seems kind of
     shaky" (BLOOMBERG NEWS, 9/27).  DAILY VARIETY's John Dempsey
     writes that the deal comes while MLB "did not negotiate from
     a position of strength.  Its Nielsen ratings consistently
     fall well below the average" of NFL, NBA and NCAA men's
     basketball tournament games (DAILY VARIETY, 9/27).

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